Expert picks and betting tips for the 2022 U.S. Open

The 2022 U.S Open Championship returns to Brookline Country Club in Brookline, Massachusetts, for the first time since 1988, with a loaded field of 156 golfers vying for the top 60 spots to advance. 2011 U.S. Open winner Rory McIlroy enters the weekend as the favorite after winning the RBC Canadian Open last weekend. McIlroy will have to beat out a tough field including defending champion Jon Rahm, PGA Championship winner Justin Thomas and Masters winner Scottie Scheffler.

Where is the betting value? Will the favorites prevail? Our golf and betting experts break down the field for the third major of the year.

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Experts’ picks to win | Betting value picks to win | Notable golfers odds | Props and more

Expert picks

Matt Barrie, ESPN
Winner: Rory McIlroy

Charlotte Gibson, ESPN.com
Winner: Will Zalatoris

Andy North, ESPN
Winner: Justin Thomas

Mark Schlabach, ESPN.com
Winner: Shane Lowry

Marty Smith, ESPN
Winner: Tony Finau

Curtis Strange, ESPN
Winner: Cameron Smith

Wright Thompson, ESPN.com
Winner: Dustin Johnson

Paolo Uggetti, ESPN.com
Winner: Rory McIlroy

Tom VanHaaren, ESPN.com
Winner: Rory McIlroy

Scott Van Pelt, ESPN
Winner: Will Zalatoris

Kevin Van Valkenburg, ESPN.com
Winner: Will Zalatoris

Josh Weinfuss, ESPN.com
Winner: Scottie Scheffler

Betting value picks to win

Our betting experts give you picks to win based on value. We look at the betting board and tell you who has the best chance to cash your ticket.

Michael Collins, ESPN senior golf analyst
Winner: Sam Burns (25-1)

Why he’ll win: Burns has three wins already this season and is hot coming off his past three starts. At 25-1, he has plenty of value in a stacked field.

Anita Marks, ESPN betting analyst
Winner: Sungjae Im (40-1)

Why he’ll win: Im plays well on the big stage (T-2 and T-8 at the Masters, T-17 at the PGA Championship). He checks many of the boxes when looking at the metrics needed to win at Brookline, ranking 29th in driving accuracy, seventh in greens in regulation and third in scrambling this season.

David Bearman, sports betting deputy editor, ESPN.com
Winner: Justin Thomas (11-1)

Why he’ll win: Thomas turned in another incredible performance last week in Canada with a 63-64 weekend to almost chase down Rory McIlroy. He is third on tour tee-to-green and shots gained overall, 6th on approach and 14th off the tee. Thomas is arguably the hottest golfer on tour right now and finally got past the “second major” drought last month. No. 3 should be in the cards this weekend.

Chris Fallica, ESPN betting analyst
Winner: Dustin Johnson (40-1)

Why he’ll win: Johnson is a past U.S. Open champion and has enjoyed a stretch of five top-six finishes in seven years. This course will mandate long, accurate play off the tee, and that’s right up DJ’s alley. He hasn’t had the best of years, but…